long-term forex strategies
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If you trade the forex markets regularly, chances are that a lot of your trading is of the short-term variety; i. From my experience, there is one major flaw with this type of trading: h igh-speed computers and algorithms will spot these patterns faster than you ever will. When I initially started trading, my strategy was similar to that of many short-term traders. That is, analyze the technicals to decide on a long or short position or even no position in the absence of a clear trendand then wait for the all-important breakout, i. I can't tell you how many times I would open a position after a breakout, only for the price to move back in the opposite direction - with my stop loss closing me out of the trade. More often than not, the traders who make the money are those who are adept at anticipating such a breakout before it happens.

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Long-term forex strategies

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Accurate forex calendar Related Articles. Once you figure this out, you should double-check your expectations, then list all known expected events and their outcomes. Some forex traders with deep pockets and a decent appetite for risk might use news trading strategies, although they are probably not ideal for forex beginners. Benzinga is your source for anything Forex, and we're detialing the best forex books to read when trading in this profitable market. Long-term trading is the process of holding on to your chosen stocks, commodities or currencies for an extended period.
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Long-term forex strategies Start trading Includes free demo account. Though CedarFX could introduce a few additional educational resources, the broker remains a unique option for traders invested in giving back. However, profits vary from one individual trading experience to another, so this can't be accepted as a general rule. Part Of. In the forex marketa trader can hold a position for as long as a few minutes to a few years.
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First of all, these are volatile pairs with relatively medium and low liquidity, i. If the pair is highly liquid, this means that it will be instantly bought and sold, thus remaining in a narrow price range. Also pay attention to the average daily volatility, which should be at least points. By the way, don't limit yourself to the main currency pairs. There are also cross pairs and CFDs on futures. The optimal long-term timeframe is probably 1 day. Weekly and monthly intervals are used as auxiliary for the analysis of wave theory, seasonal volatility and annual trends.

A few words about the risks. Many sources call long-term trading less dangerous in terms of risk. They say that in intraday strategies and scalping, speculative volatility is unpredictable and often breaks stop orders. In daily timeframes, the length of the stop orders reaches points, i. However, we are talking about the risks of a position closing by a stop order triggered.

In long-term trading, a trader is forced to keep a loss for hours, if not days, and can still end up with a loss. Besides the fact that this is an emotional burden, the amount of loss will be many times greater than in intraday strategies another argument against using leverage. Long-term strategies also bear high risks, they just have a different nature. Whatever type of strategies a trader practices, most often several timeframes are analyzed simultaneously. According to theory, the analysis begins with higher periods and in long-term strategies, intervals 1D and higher are used as the main ones.

My advice: in order to avoid switching between windows with different intervals, use scripts or multi-timeframe indicators they all have MTF prefix in their name. They are quite convenient - they display the summarized information at several intervals on the screen in the main timeframe. The strategies below are interesting in that beginners can use them too. They are built based on combined indicators with links to templates for each strategy.

Copy the archive, add the strategy template and indicator to MT4 and follow the recommendations. Read more about how to add indicators in MT4 in this review. Sentiment is a trend indicator that shows quite well the prevailing mood on the market. If it is in the upper positive zone, bulls prevail, if in the lower zone - bears. Indicator settings:. The indicator is located at the bottom of the chart. In one of its versions, a linear display of the result is used, but it is not quite convenient.

This link allows you to use its second version, which displays calculations as multi-colored histograms. For visual convenience, the indicator highlights each subsequent growing bar with a thicker line. And if the next bar is smaller, then the bar line is thin.

If we see a bold red line in the chart — bears are prevailing, if the red line is thin, then bears are prevailing but their strength is gradually decreasing i. It works the same way with the blue lines and bulls. In the screenshot, you can see the formation of 5 bold red lines building, each longer than the previous one. As soon as a thin line appears the bar is shorter in absolute terms , we open a position. In the chart, the signal candle is highlighted with a pink rectangle. It is important that the so-called "staircase" contains at least 5 bars, the more the better.

Stop Loss is selected individually for each pair. In the screenshot, the red lines indicate the following top to bottom : Take Profit, position opening level, Stop Loss. But this is up to the trader. To exit the market, we use a trailing stop. We set it at the level of points and go do something else. Here you can also see the formation of a bullish pattern. When its strength starts to go down, you can open a position.

The top horizontal red line is the Stop Loss, then there is a line of the position opening level and the bottom line is Take Profit. The strategy is convenient in that you do not need to be at the screen all the time, but signals appear rarely. Therefore, you can use it for several pairs at the same time, after selecting the length of the stop order based on volatility use the volatility calculators or put the ATR indicator in the weekly chart.

The effectiveness of the signals is clearly visible on the history of quotes, i. Although the attempts to filter price noise and solve the problem of lagging indicators by averaging are considered the most convenient and popular, they are not particularly effective. In more complex indicators, attempts have been made to apply statistical methods and higher mathematics formulas one such method using spectral analysis and the Fourier series is described in this review.

Another example of such a combined indicator is the Gaussian Filter, which is built on the normal distribution of probability method Gaussian distribution. The indicator draws a line with dots of different colors. Blue dots mean that the acceleration of the market is directed up, red mean that the acceleration is directed down. So just download it here , install it in MT4 and test it. Despite the relative rarity of the signals, most of them are effective. This is the only condition.

On the next candle, you can open a position with a stop order at about points and with a target profit of about points. If the candlestick closed above the moment the position was opened but did not reach Take Profit and its body was more than 30 points, then move the stop order to the breakeven level. If the body of the candle is shorter than 30 points, leave the stop order at the same level.

If the next candle goes down, in the worst case, the position will close at zero profit. The screenshot shows that after entering on the signal candle, Take Profit is triggered on the third candle. It's a controversial question whether you should set a trailing stop. Due to the volatility of the pair, trailing stop may be triggered earlier than Take Profit.

However, this is up to the trader. The conditions for opening a position on the next candle are similar. The Stop Loss length here is nominal, as the trader has enough time on the daily interval to assess the situation by lowering the timeframe and using classic indicators. The probability of major movement in the opposite direction is small. Here we also close the position on the third candle by Take Profit with a profit of about points.

Positions are opened at the end of a strong movement towards a reversal, so the potential loss will be a consequence of the inertia of the price and it is better to wait it out. The DRP2 indicator is one of the leading forecasting tools. It analyzes the range of price fluctuations of the last candle, combines them with the High, Low, and Close values of the current candle and, based on the calculation results, draws the forecast location of the next candle a little to the right.

The final forecast range is drawn after the current candle closes. According to traders, the indicator is ambiguous, but it shows the best results on the daily interval. Day candles are associated with the sequence of operation of exchanges, strong and weak daily activity, etc. And while on short timeframes, different brokers sometimes have different opening and closing prices for candles on the same section, on daily intervals one can see clear patterns.

However, this is just one of the opinions to discuss in the comments. There are in fact no settings the formula is already built in the code , except for the number of bars in the history. You can view the history, but it is better to use the MT4 tester.

If the range is less than 50 points i. In this particular case, a suitable candle is shown by a vertical arrow. To the right of it, a range purple rectangle was formed using the indicator. Its center is indicated by a yellow dot for convenience. Since the closing price of the candle is closer to the lower edge, we place a pending Sell Limit order at the top of the range central horizontal red line.

The top line is Stop Loss and the bottom one is Take Profit. Success in any endeavour requires a solid strategy in place. Forex is no exception to this rule. This day and age the Foreign Exchange Market is instrumental to the functioning of financial markets and entire economies. Forex is the torchbearer of globalisation processes and a thematic heir to the roots of international trade. For centuries countries imported necessary resources to their shores while exporting important products abroad.

Gold, to which most countries currencies were pegged to allowed for the industrial age and progress to occur. However, nowadays the market value-based system is used in most countries. This system controls the value of currencies via forces of demand and supply. While people worried over the pitfalls of the financial crisis, Warren Buffett bought in and help his positions.

Being willing and confident in your choice enough to hold a position for years on end is achievable for a regular trader. It is the ultimate, but not the only form of long-term trading. Everyone wants to be rich. Everyone wants to make money from home. Not everyone succeeds. However, even if you are successful in online trading, you will still end up spending tons of hours and sleepless nights next to your laptop.

Trading and especially short-term trading is a time-consuming job. This is the time that could be spent pursuing more money or other endeavours in your life. Gains and the processes of short-term strategies attract a lot of people. Maintaining a wide perspective and keeping awareness on multiple levels is needed to succeed.

These levels include but are not limited to: Technical, political and macroeconomic aspects of your trades. Long-term trading is in fact conceptually quite similar to short term trading. Timeframes are the main difference between the strategies. Choice of a timeframe defines your expectations and perspective. Charts are highly deceptive. Let us illustrate how short-term data can be misleading. What do you see? Is the British pound about to pull back from an upward trend?

One might assume that and rush to sell the position he bought earlier that day. However, let us not rush to judgement. It would seem that the currency pair has had a major monthly resistance point for the last 8 months. This adds yet another dimension to your trade and decisionmaking. Ignoring the bigger picture can land anyone in serious financial hardship.

Short term trading can indeed land you more profit in a small timeframe. It can also land you more losses or even discourage you from trading altogether. That is in case you jump in head-first and without due research or knowledge.

Which is what a significant number of newcomers to currency trading and investment do. What sounds like a better alternative? Riding intra-day trends and signals 16 hours a day or spending that time to open well-researched, diligently analyzed positions that will require little maintenance? Your answer might be the former.

Every trader has to choose their own path to take. Some people genuinely prefer and enjoy the rigid routine and nerve-racking excitement of short term trading. Some people are also very good at it. If, however, your particular temperament and work goals are better suited for long-term trading, there is a number of peer-tested and time-proven strategies to educate yourself on and employ them to your benefit.

People that use long-term trading strategies do so by researching a trade with all its variables. Then they buy a currency or a currency pair and wait for their investment to pay off. However, Forex trading research is a daunting task. Correctly predicting currency movements and capitalizing on your understanding of ongoing processes is harder still. One of the most valuable tricks in the game is learning how to minimize your losses.

Other key moments are having a thorough game plan and a no less thorough understanding of it. Equally as important is the term of your investment. Different investments made for different time periods require differentiating strategies to employ. Investors hold positions for minutes, hours, days, months or even years as a result of their respective strategies. Forex trading is as much an emotional and mental endeavour as well as a financial one.

Individual bias and simple human error are major players in the financial market. Many traders want to bet larger capitals on singular trades to boost their potential returns. This trend is one of the reasons why a thorough analysis of market conditions and individual trades has become a well-researched discipline in trading.

The trend carries its dangers, of course. An unexpected plunge can be extremely destructive. The financial market is a volatile environment and has very few constants. This is why diversifying your portfolio is one of the most important and basic lessons one will learn in trading. Carry trading implies borrowing a low-interest rate currency and investing the money in a currency with a higher interest rate.

The strategy can cause problems for currencies. Carry trading is often used during the times in financial history when globally exchange rates are relatively stable. It stops being popular when a liquidity shortage happens. The practice of carry trading carries its risks and rewards. When used properly, it allows the investor to profit off of the interest rate difference in a currency pair. When unlucky, the pair might switch and the investor will take losses.

The tactic will turn deadly on the user if an unexpected price fluctuation happens. Moving average trading refers to a large number of research and technical analysis tools. The toolkit will take several weeks worth of data and analyze it to create an average. Then, it will continue to create these averages in the exact same time increments in order to form a moving average value. If the average is showing a trend of declining, long-term trading or no trading is better suited, depending on the individual occasion.

This long-term trend trading Forex strategy is used with different market tools and statistical devices. Candlesticks are often used to largely automate the strategy and utilize it to its full potential. Moving average trading is an effective strategy.

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When you hold a currency trade for more than a day, you'll notice something called a rollover. Depending on the currencies involved and the direction of the trade, you may be paying a little bit of interest or earning a little bit of interest. For the most part, if a country is paying sufficient interest, world traders are buying the currency against weaker currencies, creating a trend.

Tracking the progress of the commanding heights of the economy, also known as the fundamentals go along with the above idea. Fundamentals are things like employment, interest rates, CPI, and even politics.

While trading the big picture, you need to know what the fundamentals are for the currencies involved. Technical analysis can take many forms when you put it into practice. If you say technical analysis to one trader, they may think moving averages, while another market operator may think of MACD if you mention technical trading. When trading the big picture, you are looking for technical aspects to support your trade. If you want to buy a currency pair, you don't want it to be overbought technically.

Your big picture trading should have some technical analysis that supports your decision. It helps with the timing and helps you avoid getting in at a bad time. You may have the right idea overall, but having technical analysis in your favor can reduce your risk. Like all forms of analysis, technical analysis is subject to misjudgments or biases, which can throw off appropriate investing decisions. If you don't feel like you have a grasp on what is happening with a currency pair for a day, step back and look at everything on the weekly charts.

The bigger weekly charts can make a knee-jerk move on the daily chart look trivial and give you a better feel for what you're analyzing. Taking a step back helps to reduce second-guessing. With these items in mind, you can make strong trading decisions that support positions that you're holding. You should never be making trades just to make them.

You should be able to explain them to a third party if you had to. If you follow this rule, it will help you avoid making an "I'm bored" trade. Real trading, especially big picture trading, can be boring and slow. Many traders are brought in and told to trade fast and leveraged. But in return, the trader gets the opportunity to slowly assess the market situation, close the unprofitable position in time, and avoid constantly monitoring the trade on the computer there is some room for experiments with advisers.

What else is interesting about long-term Forex strategies and what kinds are there? You will find out in this review. Also here you will find links to unique combined indicators for MT4 and examples of their application. This is only partially true, because what matters is not the duration for which a position is opened, but the time interval used.

In this review you will learn:. And of course, you will get examples of simple and complex long-term strategies. Although not all of them may be effective without question, they can be used as a basis and a trading simulator. It seems to me that both classifications are not entirely correct. In the first case, there is no medium-term trade, although there are separate technical analysis rules for it. In the second case, it's not so clear either: if the position is open on the interval D1 and closed on the same candle, then it falls into the long-term category, although it is in fact intraday.

Or if with H4 interval a position is held longer than 6 candles in the market, what type is it? In the practical examples of strategies below, long-term strategies will be understood as those that are based on the analysis of daily timeframes and which are held in the market for more than one day. Which currency pairs are optimal for long-term trading is a rhetorical question. First of all, these are volatile pairs with relatively medium and low liquidity, i.

If the pair is highly liquid, this means that it will be instantly bought and sold, thus remaining in a narrow price range. Also pay attention to the average daily volatility, which should be at least points. By the way, don't limit yourself to the main currency pairs.

There are also cross pairs and CFDs on futures. The optimal long-term timeframe is probably 1 day. Weekly and monthly intervals are used as auxiliary for the analysis of wave theory, seasonal volatility and annual trends. A few words about the risks. Many sources call long-term trading less dangerous in terms of risk. They say that in intraday strategies and scalping, speculative volatility is unpredictable and often breaks stop orders. In daily timeframes, the length of the stop orders reaches points, i.

However, we are talking about the risks of a position closing by a stop order triggered. In long-term trading, a trader is forced to keep a loss for hours, if not days, and can still end up with a loss. Besides the fact that this is an emotional burden, the amount of loss will be many times greater than in intraday strategies another argument against using leverage. Long-term strategies also bear high risks, they just have a different nature. Whatever type of strategies a trader practices, most often several timeframes are analyzed simultaneously.

According to theory, the analysis begins with higher periods and in long-term strategies, intervals 1D and higher are used as the main ones. My advice: in order to avoid switching between windows with different intervals, use scripts or multi-timeframe indicators they all have MTF prefix in their name. They are quite convenient - they display the summarized information at several intervals on the screen in the main timeframe.

The strategies below are interesting in that beginners can use them too. They are built based on combined indicators with links to templates for each strategy. Copy the archive, add the strategy template and indicator to MT4 and follow the recommendations. Read more about how to add indicators in MT4 in this review. Sentiment is a trend indicator that shows quite well the prevailing mood on the market.

If it is in the upper positive zone, bulls prevail, if in the lower zone - bears. Indicator settings:. The indicator is located at the bottom of the chart. In one of its versions, a linear display of the result is used, but it is not quite convenient. This link allows you to use its second version, which displays calculations as multi-colored histograms. For visual convenience, the indicator highlights each subsequent growing bar with a thicker line.

And if the next bar is smaller, then the bar line is thin. If we see a bold red line in the chart — bears are prevailing, if the red line is thin, then bears are prevailing but their strength is gradually decreasing i.

It works the same way with the blue lines and bulls. In the screenshot, you can see the formation of 5 bold red lines building, each longer than the previous one. As soon as a thin line appears the bar is shorter in absolute terms , we open a position. In the chart, the signal candle is highlighted with a pink rectangle. It is important that the so-called "staircase" contains at least 5 bars, the more the better.

Stop Loss is selected individually for each pair. In the screenshot, the red lines indicate the following top to bottom : Take Profit, position opening level, Stop Loss. But this is up to the trader. To exit the market, we use a trailing stop. We set it at the level of points and go do something else.

Here you can also see the formation of a bullish pattern. When its strength starts to go down, you can open a position. The top horizontal red line is the Stop Loss, then there is a line of the position opening level and the bottom line is Take Profit. The strategy is convenient in that you do not need to be at the screen all the time, but signals appear rarely.

Therefore, you can use it for several pairs at the same time, after selecting the length of the stop order based on volatility use the volatility calculators or put the ATR indicator in the weekly chart. The effectiveness of the signals is clearly visible on the history of quotes, i. Although the attempts to filter price noise and solve the problem of lagging indicators by averaging are considered the most convenient and popular, they are not particularly effective. In more complex indicators, attempts have been made to apply statistical methods and higher mathematics formulas one such method using spectral analysis and the Fourier series is described in this review.

Another example of such a combined indicator is the Gaussian Filter, which is built on the normal distribution of probability method Gaussian distribution. The indicator draws a line with dots of different colors. Blue dots mean that the acceleration of the market is directed up, red mean that the acceleration is directed down.

So just download it here , install it in MT4 and test it. Despite the relative rarity of the signals, most of them are effective. This is the only condition. On the next candle, you can open a position with a stop order at about points and with a target profit of about points. If the candlestick closed above the moment the position was opened but did not reach Take Profit and its body was more than 30 points, then move the stop order to the breakeven level.

If the body of the candle is shorter than 30 points, leave the stop order at the same level. If the next candle goes down, in the worst case, the position will close at zero profit. The screenshot shows that after entering on the signal candle, Take Profit is triggered on the third candle. It's a controversial question whether you should set a trailing stop.

Due to the volatility of the pair, trailing stop may be triggered earlier than Take Profit. However, this is up to the trader. The conditions for opening a position on the next candle are similar. The Stop Loss length here is nominal, as the trader has enough time on the daily interval to assess the situation by lowering the timeframe and using classic indicators.

The probability of major movement in the opposite direction is small. Here we also close the position on the third candle by Take Profit with a profit of about points. Positions are opened at the end of a strong movement towards a reversal, so the potential loss will be a consequence of the inertia of the price and it is better to wait it out. The DRP2 indicator is one of the leading forecasting tools.

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Forex Strategies and Secrets ... Long Term Trading Strategy

Utilizing Day moving Average. Reducing or avoiding rollover charges. Comparing relative real interest rates.