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Have you ever wondered what causes price movements in your forex charts? Or why the market usually retraces at some point even in clearly established trends? Or better still, why some retracements finally become strong enough to form a whole new trend? This article is aimed at answering the questions above. Notice that a good understanding of market mechanics will definitely help you as a trader by fine- tuning your entry, exit, and stop loss levels, thus yielding better trading results.
Before we delve into the topic, I will like to explain four major reactions that lead to price movements, and in what direction each of them effects their movement in the market. At every point in time while the market is open, a combination of some or all of the above is occurring. This means that the final price movement you actually see on your chart is the resultant of the market vectors listed above. For example, if we are in an uptrend, and are spotting bullish market reaction, it means that we have more net buyers than sellers which are causing the resultant upward movement.
Now, as the swing tops out, those buyers who have been scoring profits all along will begin to bank their profits, thus buyers leaving the market. When this is happening, it causes a downward price movement as indicated above which we term retracement. Also, some sellers who were able to predict the end of the bullish swing will also jump in thereby augmenting the downward retracement.
As price retraces to a bullish confluence below, those sellers, who entered at the top of the bullish swing, will begin to take their profits sellers leaving the market , and more buyers will enter the market hoping to continue with the trend to the upside- the general result being a net bullish market reaction. The opposite is the case for a bearish trend. The success in the forex trading lies how skillfully you predict the forex market movements.
A trader who can skillfully predict the market price movement can trade successfully in this fluctuating market. However, to make profit from your trade you should have fairly thorough understanding of the factors that affect the movement of a currency's rate of exchange. However, the following factors will enable you to make more accurate predictions in this movement, thus enabling yourself a better opportunity for success. Usually, if a country's economy is strong, there is always a great possibility that its central banks will raise interest rates so as to arrest inflationary growth.
However, the higher the interest rates, the greater the participation by investors in that country's financial marketplaces. The increasing numbers of investors participating in that particular country's markets, demands for that currency increases.
Greater demand equals an increase in the currency's exchange rate. This is one of the great essential factors that cause market movements in forex. Political factors also cause forex market movements online. Foreign exchange market is one of the only biggest financial markets that can be successfully traded by virtue of political and economic news.
One should always remember that currencies are representative of countries rather than companies.
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